Mosaic (Brazil) Performance

MOSC34 Stock  BRL 24.94  0.50  2.05%   
Mosaic has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.18, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Mosaic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Mosaic is likely to outperform the market. Mosaic right now secures a risk of 3.08%. Please verify The Mosaic downside deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if The Mosaic will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in The Mosaic are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak basic indicators, Mosaic may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow594.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.3 B
  

Mosaic Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,284  in The Mosaic on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  210.00  from holding The Mosaic or generate 9.19% return on investment over 90 days. The Mosaic is generating 0.1901% of daily returns and assumes 3.0808% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 27% of stocks are less volatile than Mosaic, and 97% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mosaic is expected to generate 3.79 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.79 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Mosaic Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Mosaic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 24.94 90 days 24.94 
about 5.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mosaic to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.44 (This The Mosaic probability density function shows the probability of Mosaic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon The Mosaic has a beta of -0.18. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mosaic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, The Mosaic is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The Mosaic has an alpha of 0.0703, implying that it can generate a 0.0703 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mosaic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mosaic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mosaic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.8324.9428.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.1820.2927.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.2324.3327.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.6123.1725.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mosaic. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mosaic's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mosaic's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mosaic.

Mosaic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mosaic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mosaic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Mosaic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mosaic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
1.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.0078

Mosaic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mosaic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mosaic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mosaic had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Mosaic Fundamentals Growth

Mosaic Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Mosaic, and Mosaic fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Mosaic Stock performance.

About Mosaic Performance

By analyzing Mosaic's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Mosaic's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Mosaic has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Mosaic has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The Mosaic Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and markets concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients in North America and internationally. The Mosaic Company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida. MOSAIC DRN operates under Agricultural Inputs classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange. It employs 12617 people.

Things to note about Mosaic performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mosaic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Mosaic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mosaic had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Evaluating Mosaic's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Mosaic's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Mosaic's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Mosaic's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Mosaic's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Mosaic's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Mosaic's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Mosaic's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Mosaic's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Mosaic's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Mosaic's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Mosaic Stock analysis

When running Mosaic's price analysis, check to measure Mosaic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mosaic is operating at the current time. Most of Mosaic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mosaic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mosaic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mosaic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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